Update on The Hyperinflation Hoax – we’re gaining ground!
Great news! TC is now on the first page of Google results for “shadow government statistics”! for the post Why Shadow Government Statistics is very, very, very Wrong. One of the major ways people...
View ArticleThe TC Curve: Keith Moon Economics
I was out for lunch this afternoon with a friend. We had a great lunch. It’s the first time I’ve been in a conversation that has been interrupted due to “a call from my gunsmith”. But during the lunch...
View ArticleDoes MMT hint will we see $2.00 gasoline by July 15th?
It could happen Oil is falling. Oil is falling rapidly. The drop is nothing short of astounding. The conventional wisdom is: “The Fed’s view, and our view in the UBS mining team is that QE2 operates...
View ArticleHyperinflation Hoax: China still cannot emport that much inflation to the U.S.
We do not face much inflation threat here in the U.S. It’s a never ending battle against the forces of willful ignorance over here at the Trader’s Crucible. We now have Soc Gen and The Business Insider...
View ArticleTC Midwest Manufacturing Survey shows continued, robust growth
The Trader’s Crucible Midwest Manufacturing Survey shows the midwest economy continues to be strong due to a rebound in manufacturing. Some quotes from the report: We had record months in April and...
View ArticleHigh gas prices are shifting 2% of GDP to oil producers, but we still allow...
There is an easy way to find out how much impact gas prices have on the economy. The rule of thumb math is that every 1 cent of increase in the price of gasoline exchanges $1bn of consumer spending...
View ArticleSaudi Arabia opens the Spigot
Saudi Oil Production highest since financial crisis Here is a chart of the amount of oil Saudi Arabia is pumping. It’s a significant increase and makes up for nearly the entire amount Lybia is not...
View ArticleSaudi Arabia, the only country in OPEC that can pump more oil, says it will...
What ever happened to good ole’ common sense? What OPEC says doesn’t matter. What Saudi Arabia says matters, because only Saudi Arabia can meaningfully increase how much oil they pump tomorrow. Here is...
View ArticleOil and Gas will fall dramatically in price, starting 4 hours ago
Oil prices are down $4/barrel today Oil is down $4.00 today. A settlement below the old lows breaks a huge level of support, and the next stop is $80 or so. Why did oil get hammered today? This is an...
View ArticleJune Headline CPI could be 2.3%, down 1.3% from May, due to falling gas prices.
Gas Prices are going down Gasoline prices have been falling like crazy in June. Gas is already down $.14 in June. You can see the remarkably straight line decline – it’s about 2 cents every 3 days....
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